Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

907 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Sony Bank Targets 2026 U.S. Launch for Dollar-Pegged Stablecoin Tied to Its Entertainment Ecosystem

Sony Bank Targets 2026 U.S. Launch for Dollar-Pegged Stablecoin Tied to Its Entertainment Ecosystem

Sony Bank plans to launch a US dollar-pegged stablecoin in the US by fiscal 2026, targeting payments in games/anime. The post Sony Bank Targets 2026 U.S. Launch for Dollar-Pegged Stablecoin Tied to Its Entertainment Ecosystem appeared first on Crypto News Australia.

Author: Cryptonews AU
Kalshi Tokenizes Prediction Markets on Solana to Boost Crypto Liquidity

Kalshi Tokenizes Prediction Markets on Solana to Boost Crypto Liquidity

The post Kalshi Tokenizes Prediction Markets on Solana to Boost Crypto Liquidity appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kalshi has tokenized its prediction market event contracts on the Solana blockchain, enabling seamless access to the crypto economy with non-custodial, instant trading. This integration aggregates on-chain and off-chain liquidity into a unified global pool, revolutionizing prediction markets for users worldwide. Kalshi’s Solana event contracts allow predictions on events like elections, weather, and economics directly on the blockchain. The platform leverages Solana’s infrastructure for fast, low-cost transactions, tapping into crypto’s liquidity. With $2 million in grants via the Kalshi Builders Program, the firm supports developers building tools around these markets, including trading bots and analytics. Kalshi Solana event contracts unlock tokenized predictions in the crypto economy. Aggregate liquidity, earn via builder programs. Discover how this boosts global trading—explore now! (148 characters) What Are Kalshi’s Tokenized Event Contracts on Solana? Kalshi’s tokenized event contracts on Solana represent a major advancement in prediction markets, allowing users to bet on real-world outcomes using blockchain technology. Announced on Monday, this initiative brings Kalshi’s established event contracts onto the Solana network, where they are tokenized for non-custodial ownership and instant settlement. By integrating with Solana’s high-speed blockchain, Kalshi enables crypto users to participate in markets for elections, economic indicators, weather events, and more, all while benefiting from aggregated liquidity pools that combine traditional and on-chain sources. How Does Kalshi Aggregate Liquidity Using Solana Infrastructure? Kalshi aggregates liquidity by pooling on-chain and off-chain resources into a single global venue, powered by Solana’s efficient trading infrastructure. The firm partners with established Solana ecosystem players like the DEX aggregator Jupiter and trading infrastructure provider DFlow to facilitate this unified pool. This setup ensures deep liquidity for users, reducing slippage and enabling competitive pricing across international and U.S. markets. According to Kalshi’s Head of Crypto, John Wang, the strategy addresses a core challenge in exchanges: liquidity as the ultimate…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi Tokenizes Event Contracts on Solana, Potentially Boosting Anonymity in Prediction Markets

Kalshi Tokenizes Event Contracts on Solana, Potentially Boosting Anonymity in Prediction Markets

The post Kalshi Tokenizes Event Contracts on Solana, Potentially Boosting Anonymity in Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kalshi’s integration with Solana enables users to trade tokenized event contracts on the blockchain, offering enhanced anonymity and liquidity for predictions on elections, sports, and more. This move taps into crypto’s vast resources, allowing seamless tokenized buys and sales while bridging traditional prediction markets to decentralized finance. Kalshi now supports tokenized versions of its event contracts on Solana, making bets tradeable as digital assets. The platform targets crypto enthusiasts by providing greater privacy through blockchain-based transactions. With a valuation reaching $11 billion, Kalshi competes directly with platforms like Polymarket, backed by significant investments including $1 billion from Sequoia Capital and CapitalG. Discover how Kalshi’s Solana tokenization revolutionizes prediction markets with anonymous crypto trading on events like US elections. Boost your insights—explore the future of tokenized bets today. (142 characters) What is Kalshi’s Tokenization on Solana? Kalshi’s tokenization on Solana allows users to buy and sell digital versions of its event contracts directly on the blockchain, transforming traditional prediction markets into crypto-compatible assets. This innovation, now live, enables tokenized trades for outcomes in US elections, sports events, and other categories, drawing in cryptocurrency users with added privacy and liquidity. According to a CNBC report, the platform aims to leverage Solana’s speed and low costs to expand its reach. How Does Kalshi’s Solana Integration Enhance User Anonymity? Kalshi’s move to Solana provides users with greater anonymity compared to conventional platforms, as tokenized contracts operate on the blockchain without revealing personal details in trades. DeFi protocols like Jupiter and DFlow are bridging Kalshi’s offchain orderbook to Solana’s liquidity pools, facilitating seamless access to decentralized exchanges. This setup minimizes traceability in transactions, appealing to privacy-conscious traders in the crypto space. The integration builds on Solana’s proven scalability, handling thousands of transactions per second at minimal fees, which supports high-volume prediction trading. Experts note that…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi Launches Tokenized Prediction Markets On Solana

Kalshi Launches Tokenized Prediction Markets On Solana

The post Kalshi Launches Tokenized Prediction Markets On Solana appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kalshi has moved fully on-chain with the launch of tokenized prediction markets on Solana, marking its strongest challenge yet to Polymarket in the fast-growing prediction sector. The shift turns Kalshi’s event contracts into Solana-based tokens that users can trade with greater speed and privacy. Solana Integration Delivers Faster, Cheaper and More Private Trading The new tokenized contracts work like regular Kalshi markets but now exist as digital assets on Solana’s ledger. Every contract will become a token that individuals can obtain or exchange through Solana wallets. This allows the users to buy or sell SOL tokens without the traditional interface of Kalshi. Hence, it eliminates friction points like creating an account and checks. The company believes that the structure provides greater privacy and at the same time offers event markets operating under Federal regulations. According to CNBC, Kalshi chose Solana because of it charges lower fees compared to other networks and huge transaction capability. These features matter for prediction markets that require fast execution and deep liquidity. Regulators are also monitoring tokenization trends. For instance, the SEC is preparing to review new rules around tokenized assets. Kalshi said that decentralized finance protocols like DFlow and Jupiter will support institutional access by linking their systems to the platform’s off-chain orderbook. This links the regulated structure of Kalshi with the open liquidity pool from Solana. Growing Volumes Drive Kalshi Toward Deeper On-Chain Liquidity Demand for this model has increased as prediction markets continue to experience rising activity. Data cited by the company shows that industry-wide trading volumes reached nearly $28 billion through October. Weekly volumes touched fresh highs in late October as more traders turned to event-based contracts for political and economic forecasts. Kalshi is aware of the fact that such growth needs more liquidity to ensure price remains accurate in thousands…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Vanguard Opens Platform to Crypto ETFs in Major Shift: Bloomberg

Vanguard Opens Platform to Crypto ETFs in Major Shift: Bloomberg

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Vanguard Opens Platform to Crypto

Author: Coindesk
Kalshi Launches Tokenized Event Bets on Solana Blockchain: CNBC

Kalshi Launches Tokenized Event Bets on Solana Blockchain: CNBC

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Author: Coindesk
Prediction markets are coming to your brokerage

Prediction markets are coming to your brokerage

The post Prediction markets are coming to your brokerage appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. If you open your brokerage this year and a “Markets” tab seems to be sprouting unfamiliar yes/no questions (“Will the Fed cut rates in March?”, “Will a major ETF get approved this quarter?”), you wouldn’t necessarily be hallucinating. The recent regulatory green-light for Polymarket via a cleared path under its newest acquisition of an exchange and its clearinghouse means those kinds of event-contracts might soon appear inside mainstream trading apps. Meanwhile, a court in Nevada has tightened the lines around what counts as “financial trading” vs. “gambling,” complicating the view on sports or athlete-based markets. Prediction markets plug into brokerage Polymarket’s comeback doesn’t arrive on the strength of hype or speculation alone. Earlier this year, the firm acquired QCX LLC and QC Clearing, entities already licensed under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). That maneuver laid a firm regulatory foundation for their bold expansion plans. In September 2025, the CFTC then issued a no-action letter that provided relief to QCX/QC Clearing under certain recordkeeping and reporting exemptions for event contracts. That relief effectively restored a legal avenue for Polymarket to serve US customers under the traditional exchange and clearing framework. Finally, in late November 2025, Polymarket received an “Amended Order of Designation,” formally permitting it to operate in the US as a regulated exchange. Under this order, brokerages and futures commission merchants (FCMs) can list and clear Polymarket contracts. That path is critical, as it launches Polymarket from a niche, quasi-black-market website into the orbit of mainstream finance, meaning familiar apps your friends use for stocks or ETFs could theoretically integrate these event-based bets. Brokers won’t need to build entirely new infrastructure to enable the well-loved and frequently-used prediction markets we know in crypto; they just tap into existing derivatives clearing and custody rails. It slots into what’s already there…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Robinhood to unveil AI innovations and prediction market features on December 16

Robinhood to unveil AI innovations and prediction market features on December 16

The post Robinhood to unveil AI innovations and prediction market features on December 16 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Takeaways Robinhood is set to unveil new AI innovations and prediction market features at a December event. CEO Vlad Tenev will lead the announcement, highlighting the company’s strategic pivot into AI-enabled fintech features. Robinhood, a retail investing platform, will showcase new AI innovations and prediction market features at an event on December 16 led by Chairman and CEO Vlad Tenev. The platform currently enables users to trade stocks, cryptocurrencies, and event contracts through prediction markets focused on real-world outcomes like politics and economics. Robinhood is introducing yes/no contracts tied to various events as part of its prediction markets features. The company is emphasizing prediction markets and AI innovations as part of its latest product developments. The upcoming event will unveil AI-driven enhancements designed to provide trading insights and expand the platform’s capabilities in event outcome trading. Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/robinhood-ai-innovations-prediction-market-december-event/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Stunning Surge: Prediction Markets Trading Volume Nears $10 Billion Milestone

Stunning Surge: Prediction Markets Trading Volume Nears $10 Billion Milestone

BitcoinWorld Stunning Surge: Prediction Markets Trading Volume Nears $10 Billion Milestone Have you ever wondered where people are putting their money to predict real-world events? The answer just became clearer with a seismic shift in the crypto world. In a stunning display of growth, the combined prediction markets trading volume for platforms Polymarket and Kalshi soared to nearly $10 billion in November. This isn’t just a […] This post Stunning Surge: Prediction Markets Trading Volume Nears $10 Billion Milestone first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
HTX Academy Explores the Future of Prediction Markets in New Report

HTX Academy Explores the Future of Prediction Markets in New Report

The post HTX Academy Explores the Future of Prediction Markets in New Report appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Tony Kim Dec 01, 2025 03:09 HTX Academy’s latest report delves into the evolution and future potential of prediction markets, highlighting key innovations and industry challenges. HTX Academy has released an in-depth report on the evolution and future of prediction markets, tracing their journey from early academic experiments to their current status as a sophisticated financial instrument. According to HTX Academy, these markets have transformed significantly over the past three decades, evolving from platforms like the Iowa Electronic Markets and Betfair to modern on-chain solutions such as Augur on Ethereum. Evolution of Prediction Markets Originally rooted in academic and betting exchanges, prediction markets have matured into a dual-oligopoly dominated by Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket represents the decentralized path, offering a platform built on Polygon that supports multichain expansion and utilizes a central limit order book for trading. Meanwhile, Kalshi follows a compliance-driven approach, having secured CFTC approval as a Designated Contract Market (DCM) and a Derivatives Clearing Organization (DCO) license, positioning itself as a regulated U.S. event-contract exchange. Key Innovations and Industry Landscape The report highlights a shift towards turning event contracts into financial primitives, developing products like perpetuals, options, and indices. New platforms such as Opinion, Limitless, and PMX Trade are emerging, focusing on specific verticals like sports, crypto assets, and the creator economy. These innovations aim to integrate prediction markets as an information-pricing layer within social media, news systems, and financial terminals. Challenges Facing Prediction Markets Despite significant advancements, prediction markets face structural challenges related to regulation, liquidity, and oracle governance. Regulatory uncertainty, particularly in the U.S., poses a significant barrier, with classification issues determining whether they fall under the jurisdiction of the CFTC, state gambling laws, or SEC regulations. This uncertainty affects institutional capital participation and the industry’s potential…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews