All Eyes on the Fed: What Today’s Interest Rate Decision Could Mean for Bitcoin and Crypto
The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision today at 2:00 PM ET, and crypto markets are holding their breath. The federal funds rate has sat at 3.50%–3.75% since December 2025, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, now in only his second meeting at the helm, faces a genuinely uncertain call. Bitcoin is trading in the low $63,000s, down from a June high near $80,000, with sentiment firmly in “fear” territory. Markets are pricing roughly a 62-80% chance of a hold and a 20-38% chance of a 25-