CLARITY Act Odds Hit 69%, Expert Maps Best & Worst Case Scenarios For XRP

The probability of the U.S. CLARITY Act moving through the Congress is on the rise once again. The surge is an indication of a resurgence of confidence across crypto markets.

CLARITY Act Odds Surge As Stablecoin Yield Debate Ends

Polymarket data indicate that the chance of passage recently shot past the 60% mark, even reaching 69% at one point. This rebound is indicative of a discernible change of heart following a long period of indecisiveness.

It looks like traders are trading in more likely legislative progress as the Senate approaches a decisive stage. The current estimates are still in the low 60% range, which means that optimism has not yet been lost in spite of the political hurdles that are still there.

Momentum has also picked up on Capitol Hill for the CLARITY Act. Recently, Tim Scott, the chair of the Senate Banking Committee described the bill as being in the red zone.

His statement means that the bill is approaching a critical point in the legislative process. It is said that lawmakers are already working on a crucial committee markup as early as May 2026.

One of the most notable advances was reached when lawmakers settled disputes on yield provision on stablecoins. Previously, it was an issue that previously held up the progress of negotiations. Now, Scott is looking forward to get Senate Republicans onboard.

The new framework fills in the gaps left in the GENIUS Act. Earlier, the CLARITY Act already passed the House with a bipartisan vote, but Senate discussions were more difficult.

How Will It Impact XRP?

Meanwhile, the focus is also shifting to the potential impact that the result of the CLARITY Act would have on XRP. Pro-XRP attorney Bill Morgan opined, “Failing to pass the Clarity Act may not hurt XRP or clarity about the nature of the token but anything that hurts the broader crypto market will put downward pressure on XRP price.”

To put it in simplistic terms, XRP doesn’t move in isolation. In case of an adverse response of the overall crypto market, XRP would follow suit.

With the passing of the CLARITY Act, it may boost confidence in the entire market which may be helpful in supporting the XRP price. However, in the event of a failure in approval, it might pull the overall market down with XRP also facing a downturn.