The post Trump prohibits Israel from bombing Lebanon, pushing for diplomatic solutions appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. President Trump stated that Israel isThe post Trump prohibits Israel from bombing Lebanon, pushing for diplomatic solutions appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. President Trump stated that Israel is

Trump prohibits Israel from bombing Lebanon, pushing for diplomatic solutions

2026/04/17 23:16
Okuma süresi: 2 dk
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President Trump stated that Israel is now “prohibited by the USA” from bombing Lebanon. The US-Iran permanent peace deal by April 22 market sits at 38.5% YES, up from 12% a week ago.

Trump’s declaration moved the US-Iran permanent peace deal market, where the April 22 sub-market now shows 38.5% YES, a 2.5-point increase over the past week. The April 30 and May 31 markets are priced at 54.5% and 69.5% YES, respectively. The biggest jump is between April 30 and May 31, suggesting traders expect a specific catalyst during that window.

On the Israel-Lebanon front, Trump’s prohibition on Israeli airstrikes raises the pressure for a diplomatic path. The Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting market has April 30 odds at 100% YES, meaning traders treat a diplomatic meeting by then as a certainty.

The US-Iran peace deal market trades $711,138 in daily USDC volume. Depth to move the April 22 price 5 points is $16,312, a relatively thick order book. A notable 4-point spike at 12:18 AM shows how a single well-timed order can shift the price, a sign of the market’s sensitivity to new information.

Trump’s statements represent a turn toward diplomacy and possible progress in nuclear talks with Iran. But a permanent peace deal by April 22 is still a long shot at 38.5%. A YES share at 38.5¢ pays $1 if it resolves, a 6x return. To justify that bet, you’d need to believe the US and Iran announce a breakthrough within six days.

Watch for official statements confirming joint US-Iran initiatives or details on Israel-Lebanon talks. A scheduled meeting or confirmed diplomatic breakthrough would move these markets fast.

Get prediction market intelligence as a structured API feed. Early access waitlist.

Source: https://cryptobriefing.com/trump-prohibits-israel-from-bombing-lebanon-pushing-for-diplomatic-solutions/

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