Terrill Dicki
Jan 24, 2026 07:43
Uniswap (UNI) trades at $4.88 with bearish momentum but oversold conditions signal potential 29% rally to $6.29 resistance if $4.66 support holds through February.
Uniswap (UNI) finds itself at a critical juncture as the token trades at $4.88, displaying classic oversold conditions that could spark a significant rally. With multiple technical indicators flashing mixed signals, this UNI price prediction examines the path forward for one of DeFi’s flagship protocols.
UNI Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $5.85
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $5.40-$6.29 range
• Bullish breakout level: $6.13 (Upper Bollinger Band)
• Critical support: $4.66
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Uniswap
Recent analyst sentiment around Uniswap has been cautiously optimistic despite current price weakness. Ted Hisokawa noted on January 23, 2026: “UNI trades at $5.32 with analysts eyeing $6.29 resistance breakout. Technical indicators show oversold conditions with potential 18% upside if support holds.”
Luisa Crawford provided a comprehensive Uniswap forecast on January 17, outlining: “Short-term target (1 week): $5.85; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $5.40-$6.29 range; Bullish breakout level: $6.22 (upper Bollinger Band); Critical support: $5.16 (lower Bollinger Band).”
Earlier this month, Peter Zhang highlighted the bearish momentum while maintaining hope for a technical bounce: “UNI price prediction shows bearish momentum at $5.40 with RSI at 41.60. Technical analysis suggests potential bounce to $6.29 upper Bollinger Band if $5.30 support holds through January.”
UNI Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current technical landscape for Uniswap presents a compelling oversold setup. At $4.88, UNI trades significantly below all major moving averages, with the 200-day SMA sitting at $7.64 – highlighting the extent of the recent decline.
RSI Analysis: The 14-period RSI at 36.76 indicates neutral territory but approaching oversold levels. This suggests selling pressure may be exhausting, potentially setting up a relief rally.
MACD Momentum: The MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum has stalled, though it hasn’t turned bullish yet. This neutral reading often precedes directional moves.
Bollinger Bands Position: UNI’s position at 0.1951 within the Bollinger Bands places it much closer to the lower band ($4.58) than the upper band ($6.13), indicating oversold conditions and potential for mean reversion.
Key Trading Levels: Immediate resistance sits at $4.99, followed by stronger resistance at $5.09. Support levels are well-defined at $4.77 (immediate) and $4.66 (strong support).
Uniswap Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The bullish case for this UNI price prediction centers on a bounce from the $4.66 support level. If this critical support holds, UNI could target:
- First target: $5.09 (strong resistance)
- Second target: $5.85 (analyst short-term target)
- Ultimate target: $6.29 (multiple analyst convergence level)
Technical confirmation would come from RSI breaking above 45 and MACD histogram turning positive. The 29% potential upside to $6.29 aligns with historical oversold bounces in UNI.
Bearish Scenario
Should the $4.66 support fail, UNI could face deeper losses with targets at:
- First downside target: $4.20-$4.30 range
- Extended target: $3.80-$4.00 zone
Risk factors include broader crypto market weakness, DeFi sector rotation, and potential regulatory concerns affecting decentralized exchanges.
Should You Buy UNI? Entry Strategy
For traders considering UNI positions, the current setup offers defined risk-reward parameters:
Conservative Entry: Wait for a break above $5.09 with volume confirmation, targeting $5.85 with a stop-loss below $4.66.
Aggressive Entry: Current levels around $4.88 offer attractive risk-reward, but require tight risk management with stop-loss at $4.60.
DCA Approach: Scale into positions between $4.66-$4.88, averaging down if support holds while maintaining strict position sizing.
The daily ATR of $0.28 suggests normal volatility, making these entry levels technically sound for swing trading approaches.
Conclusion
This UNI price prediction suggests Uniswap stands at a pivotal support level with 65% probability of a bounce toward $5.85-$6.29 based on current technical indicators and analyst consensus. The oversold RSI, neutral MACD, and lower Bollinger Band positioning create favorable conditions for a relief rally.
However, failure to hold $4.66 support could trigger deeper losses toward $4.00. The Uniswap forecast remains cautiously optimistic for February, contingent on broader market stability and DeFi sector performance.
Disclaimer: This UNI price prediction is based on technical analysis and market data. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
Image source: Shutterstock
Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260124-price-prediction-uni-targets-629-breakout-after-testing-466
