BTC Buy Signal Triggered

Action appropriate, but at lower confidence allocation

Lazy new bull seems to be somewhat weighed down, perhaps by the weight of some unusually enormous horns?

As I am writing this, the BTC market just closed for January 14, 2026 at the price of $96,955, which exceeded my $96,250 trigger price. So, one minute after the close, I took the action that I described in my most recent post made at 9:30 AM Eastern Time on January 14, 2026 (less than 24 hours ago), to buy BTC (or its derivative ETF’s) at the next available market price.

But I only did so near the lower end of the 20% to 80% range of the planned allocation of available cash remaining, at only 25%.

Why so low? Because I was quite disappointed that the one outside confirmation that I was looking to for some additional guidance, was so weak as to have nearly failed completely. As you may recall from my earlier post, I posited that a strong bull market in BTC should be led by its most leveraged and liquid derivative, which I see as being the stock, MSTR.

Despite its snorting charge in the early trading hours, where it was up over 9.94% at its high of the day, MSTR ended the day up only 3.66% at the close. While BTC (using the IBIT ETF to synchronize the time frames being compared), ended the day up 3.49%. So while MSTR did manage to outperform, it was only by the slim margin of 3.66% to 3.49% (+0.17%). Further, that slim margin looks more like a failure when compared to the much bigger loss in MSTR as it dropped like a rock from being up over 9.94% at its high, down to its closing gain of only 3.66% (-6.28%)!

That is the primary reason why I only allocated 25% of remaining cash to follow this triggered buy signal.

Now, a BTC close below $90,925 would invalidate that buy signal, and cause me to liquidate that additional position taken.

But if BTC does not drop down to close below that level, then this allocation will continue to be tightly held for the foreseeable future.

2026 will very likely prove to be pivotal across many important aspects of life. Therefore, we will likely be best served by paying close attention and acting accordingly. That is what I will be continuing to endeavor to do, and will continue to report my findings to you when they become actionable.

Best wishes!!!

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